Here is an update on my likelihood to win rankings....obviously a lot has changed and I jinxed Lori and Jay LMFAO. I really thought they were strategically in the best place at the time, but ya know, the wrong person winning HoH can totally flop this game around! I was sure that Tonya and Sandra would be goners soon due to them being the biggest targets but, things don't work how expected!
9. Eli Pope (-)
Regardless of if he makes it far into the game or not, I don't see many people voting for him to win. Him getting this far in the first place was pretty much luck in my opinion. I could see him sticking around as bigger targets get cut...but also if Viola comes off the block from Buddy using the veto, I would be not at all shocked if Eli went up...however, they wouldn't vote him out over Tonya. It's just that neither "side" sees that much importance to him.
8. Amber Borzotra (-)
Amber is not seen as a vital member of either alliance in this game and could very well be a casualty if Tonya comes off the block. It could be possible that Courage makes Amber as an easy replacement nom because that side knows she's not necessarily a number for them anyway. (But I could see Courage also doing Cassie which would totally shift everything in these rankings, but I'll get to that later)
7. Caillou (-)
I was definitely rooting for him to come back to spice up this game since Tonya and Sandra are clearly in a corner and seeing these 3 stick together out of necessity to survive is so interesting to me. In my opinion, to survive in this game he needs to keep Tonya and Sandra here as long as possible but then the bad side of that is the jury is not going to respect him as a returning player if he does that. He just said in his DR that he is after Cassie which is interesting to me because he is the first person to say that and I suppose that he sees the fact that so far she has had the best social game.
6. Tonya Harding (-3)
Tonya is going to have to fight harder than anyone else to get to the end of the game. She and Sandra are the biggest threats at this point and on top of that I think people see Tonya as the bigger threat than Sandra so she is seen as the top dog. If Tonya, Sandra, or Caillou don't win veto, she is out today simple as that. Chances are high that one of those 3 will win veto so we will see...this veto challenge will determine a lot for the rest of the game.
5. Sandra Diaz Twine (-1)
Out of the Tonya/Caillou/Sandra trio, I think Sandra has the best chances of even making it to the end of the game. Despite having 3 hohs, I think Tonya is still viewed as the bigger threat over her, even though I think winning out could be very possible for her.
4. Courage the Cowardly Dog (+1)
AAHHH ICON! THEY ARE THE MOMENT THIS WEEK YUP YUP! Finally getting a power and making a big move with it. Sure, Buddy might have masterminded that whole thing, but Courage could be viewed as someone trying to make moves. Again though, if they do get to the end, not sure they would get the votes to win against anyone else.
3. Viola Davis (+3)
Viola has pulled off some queen shit in these past few rounds...winning hoh and getting out Lori and then winning veto the next week and saving Eli all the while partnering up with the "underdogs" like Buddy, Courage, Eli etc in order to make moves against Tonya/Sandra. This was a necessary adjustment in her game because prior to this she was just in line to get picked off by the comp beasts -- however, now she is the biggest threat for the "underdog" side of the house and it will be a challenge for her to get to the end...but if she does get to the end, I think she could have a really great chance of winning.
2. Cassie Howard (-1)
Although she does appear a little more inactive to me lately, I still think she is in one of the best social positions in the game...shes kind of playing all sides very well, but with Caillou getting that buy back her whole game could be totally screwed over. We will see if she will be able to adapt to the challenge and if he social connections are as good as they seem or if Caillou will be able to get her out
1. Buddy (+1)
I still see Buddy as the leader of the underdogs. He pretty much masterminded that idea of getting courage the co-hoh power and having it not be him so that he can maintain his relationship with Tonya in case Tonya stays, which is really smart on his part unless they find out it was all his plan. I think the best thing about Buddy's game right now is that all of the underdogs see him as the person they trust the most and want to take to the end of the game (or at least it seems that way) and the only person who wants him out of the game is Sandra.
Also side note -- I'm loving how the game at this stage is basically Tonya/Sandra/Caillou vs Buddy/Viola/Courage/Eli with Cassie in the middle and Amber just kind of off to the side lmfaooo...it makes it all kind of interesting. I'm not rooting for one side over the other, just curious to see how things go down.
Subject: Re: Thoughts on these thots 
